New poll predicts hung Parliament for 2026 election

Monday 11 August 2025 · 5 outlets · 5 reports · updated Mon 11 Aug 2025, 11:21am

In this story Christopher Luxon, Labour Party, National Party, NZ First, Te Pāti Māori, Chris Hipkins

The Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll, conducted in early August, suggests a hung Parliament with centre-left and centre-right blocs tied on 61 seats. Labour has overtaken National in the results, while Christopher Luxon and Chris Hipkins are level in preferred prime minister ratings.

How they headlined it

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1. RNZMon 11 Aug 2025, 5:33am

   New political poll predicts hung Parliament (opens in new tab)

   Also on The Press (opens in new tab), Otago Daily Times (opens in new tab)

2. StuffMon 11 Aug 2025, 6:06am

   New poll predicts hung parliament, with Labour overtaking National (opens in new tab)

   • Luxon’s political poll playbook: ‘I don’t care’ (opens in new tab) Mon 11 Aug 2025, 11:21am
3. NZ HeraldMon 11 Aug 2025, 7:11am

   Watch live: PM Christopher Luxon speaks to media as new poll predicts hung parliament in Election 2026 (opens in new tab)

   • New political poll predicts hung Parliament for NZ Election 2026 (opens in new tab) Mon 11 Aug 2025, 7:55am