Polymarket prices correct after swing towards Labour leader Chris Hipkins

Friday 30 October 2026 · 2 outlets · 2 reports · updated Fri 30 Oct, 10:39am

In this story Christopher Luxon, Labour Party, National Party, ACT Party, NZ First, Chris Hipkins

Prediction market Polymarket has corrected its pricing following a sharp swing towards Chris Hipkins being the next prime minister. The movement, which may have been a manipulation attempt, returns the market to a roughly 50:50 outlook for the upcoming election. This follows a recent poll showing Labour leading National.

How they headlined it

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1. NZ HeraldFri 30 Oct, 5:00am

   Election 2026: Christopher Luxon warning voters against ‘sleepwalking’ into election, Chris Hipkins says National leader ‘desperate’ (opens in new tab)

2. The PostFri 30 Oct, 10:39am

   Polymarket prediction market corrects after possible manipulation attempt in favour of Labour’s Chris Hipkins (opens in new tab)