National and Labour tied in latest 1News Verian poll

1NewsThe PostNZ HeraldRNZOtago Daily TimesStuffTuesday 13 October 2026 · 6 outlets · 7 reports · updated

In this story Christopher Luxon, Labour Party, National Party, ACT Party, NZ First, Te Pāti Māori

Photo: 1News (opens in new tab)

National and Labour are tied at 28% party support in the latest 1News Verian poll. The Opportunity Party remains in a kingmaker position, while Chris Hipkins and Christopher Luxon are tied at 20% for preferred prime minister.

Key facts

5 facts
  • National and Labour are tied at 28% party support1NewsNZ HeraldRNZOtago Daily Times
  • Opportunity holds 8% support and 10 seats1NewsThe PostNZ HeraldRNZOtago Daily Times
  • Hipkins and Luxon are tied at 20% for preferred Prime Minister1NewsThe PostNZ Herald
  • The general election is scheduled for November 71News
  • The poll surveyed 1007 eligible voters with a 3.1% margin of errorThe PostNZ HeraldRNZOtago Daily Times

The full story

1 min read · 6 outlets

The latest 1News Verian poll shows National and Labour tied at 28% party support. Both parties would receive 34 seats if these results were replicated at the November 7 election.1NewsThe PostNZ HeraldRNZOtago Daily Times

The Opportunity party is positioned as the kingmaker with 8% support, which would grant them 10 seats. Neither the right-wing bloc, consisting of National, ACT, and NZ First, nor the left-wing bloc can form a government without them.1NewsThe PostNZ HeraldRNZOtago Daily Times

In preferred Prime Minister ratings, Chris Hipkins and Christopher Luxon are tied at 20%. Hipkins saw a two-point increase following a recent leaders' debate.1NewsThe PostNZ Herald

Other party results include the Greens at 15%, ACT at 10%, NZ First at 10%, and Te Pāti Māori at 0.4%. The poll, conducted between October 8 and 12 among 1007 eligible voters, has a margin of error of approximately 3.1%.1NewsThe PostNZ HeraldRNZOtago Daily Times

Where reports differ

  • One report states Opportunity would have 8 seats, while another suggests they would have 10 seatsRNZOtago Daily Times

Compiled from reports by 1News, The Post, NZ Herald, RNZ, Otago Daily Times and Stuff.

How they headlined it

First reported by 1News, Tue 13 Oct, 5:58pm · 7 reports from 6 outlets over 17 hours
  1. 1News1News

    Poll: Hipkins and Luxon now neck and neck, Opportunity on track for 10 MPs (opens in new tab)

  2. The PostThe Post

    New poll shows no path to power for National without Opportunity (opens in new tab)

  3. NZ HeraldNZ Herald

    Election 2026: Opportunity again the kingmaker in new poll, National and Labour tied (opens in new tab)

  4. RNZRNZ

    Opportunity still in kingmaker seat in latest 1News Verian poll (opens in new tab)

  5. Otago Daily TimesOtago Daily Times

    Opportunity still kingmaker in latest poll (opens in new tab)

  6. StuffStuff

    Luxon again dismisses Opportunity after 8% poll (opens in new tab)